Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.457795 0.503003 0.551492 0.607496 0.670550 0.739524 0.820921
2025-11-02 0.386604 0.449812 0.522507 0.612843 0.722840 0.853390 1.021489
2025-11-09 0.336787 0.406576 0.490572 0.600159 0.740904 0.917709 1.160009
2025-11-16 0.308548 0.383812 0.477827 0.605555 0.777153 1.003510 1.331163
2025-11-23 0.282610 0.360291 0.460349 0.600968 0.797240 1.067263 1.477324
2025-11-30 0.264277 0.344388 0.450458 0.604180 0.826403 1.144338 1.649579
2025-12-07 0.244966 0.325227 0.434024 0.595934 0.837262 1.194674 1.786213
2025-12-14 0.228455 0.308435 0.419180 0.588020 0.846868 1.242761 1.923610
2025-12-21 0.210405 0.288088 0.397595 0.568009 0.835641 1.256510 2.005019
2025-12-28 0.202928 0.282267 0.396385 0.578157 0.871607 1.348144 2.229596
2026-01-04 0.195458 0.275857 0.393677 0.585459 0.903207 1.435198 2.457134
2026-01-11 0.187809 0.268622 0.389099 0.589196 0.928860 1.514182 2.679968
2026-01-18 0.180222 0.261153 0.383858 0.591748 0.953268 1.594573 2.919734
2026-01-25 0.173796 0.255087 0.380399 0.596937 0.982699 1.687316 3.199093
2026-02-01 0.164180 0.243445 0.367267 0.584650 0.979569 1.718359 3.353500
2026-02-08 0.158945 0.238433 0.364495 0.589877 1.008680 1.814264 3.663725
2026-02-15 0.152217 0.230627 0.356612 0.585434 1.019094 1.873932 3.901492
2026-02-22 0.147412 0.225677 0.353152 0.588545 1.044051 1.965695 4.229868
2026-03-01 0.140947 0.217646 0.343993 0.580557 1.046423 2.010123 4.450016
2026-03-08 0.134983 0.210159 0.335348 0.572890 1.048686 2.054393 4.677284
2026-03-15 0.127446 0.199678 0.320973 0.553499 1.025409 2.039808 4.747763
2026-03-22 0.125130 0.197980 0.321909 0.563333 1.063532 2.167754 5.227539
2026-03-29 0.122496 0.195594 0.321464 0.570409 1.096391 2.287458 5.709184